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9月13日期货夜盘螺纹、铁矿、沥青等品种走势分析_加仓_止损_我的网站

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Illustration: Tang Tengfei/GT
    Illustration: Tang Tengfei/GT
Some Indian media outlets and regional political forces have recently sought to amplify allegations of an unverified China-India border confrontation, while official signals from Beijing and New Delhi have emphasized stability, communication and the importance of managing differences through established mechanisms.
The contrasting narratives have emerged at a moment when exchanges between China and India in various fields have gradually resumed, and cooperation has been advanced in an orderly manner, Chinese experts noted, warning that sensationalizing border-related claims could disrupt the hard-won momentum in bilateral ties and the two countries should prevent the boundary question from hijacking their broader relationship.
Contrasting narratives 
The latest media speculation was partly triggered by claims made by the People's Party of the so-called "Arunachal Pradesh" (PPA), a regional Indian political party. According to The Arunachal Times, a local Indian newspaper, a four-member PPA "fact-finding committee" led by former minister and party adviser Kahfa Bengia visited the so-called "Taksing area" (known as Taxin, in Zangnan, Southwest China's Xizang Autonomous Region) on July 10 and subsequently alleged that Indian forces had been prevented from accessing several patrolling points.
The claims were then amplified by Indian news outlet ThePrint, which reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed sources, that Chinese and Indian patrols had allegedly come "face to face" near Taxin in late July.
The outlet further claimed that Chinese personnel subsequently left before returning in early August and setting up "two or three tents."
However, ThePrint acknowledged that sources in India's defense and security establishment said the "situation was well under control."
Some other Indian reports have also questioned the sensational allegations. India Today reported on Wednesday that Indian government sources dismissed social media claims circulating about what was described as "slow encroachment," while noting that similar allegations regarding the area had previously been rejected by local authorities and the Indian Army.
In fact, the claims stand in contrast to the official diplomatic signals coming from both sides.
Asked on Tuesday about reports concerning the border, Indian Ministry of External Affairs spokesperson Randhir Jaiswal said New Delhi takes border matters seriously and reiterated India's position that "the state of the border affairs will reflect on the state of our larger bilateral ties," according to a media briefing released by the ministry on its website on Tuesday.  
He also referred to existing mechanisms for dealing with border issues and preventing misunderstanding and miscalculation, according to the briefing. 
Responding on Wednesday to questions from Bloomberg and Reuters concerning social media claims about stepped-up Chinese military activity and a possible new border incident, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun said, "The China-India border situation is generally stable at the moment." 
"China and India held the 36th meeting of the Working Mechanism for Consultation and Coordination (WMCC) on China-India Border Affairs last week. The two sides agreed to maintain communication via diplomatic and military channels and jointly uphold peace and tranquility in the border areas," Guo said. 
Qian Feng, director of the Research Department at Tsinghua University's National Strategy Institute, told the Global Times on Thursday that the fact that the two sides continue to communicate through established channels shows that the border situation has not developed in the direction of escalation portrayed by some Indian media.
Such hype also came amid another development concerning Zangnan. India on August 7 announced what it called "standard" names for 27 locations in so-called "Arunachal Pradesh," a move that some Indian media outlets portrayed as an effort to counter China and further connected with the latest reports of border tensions.
China has firmly rejected the move. Responding to the issue on Monday, spokesperson Guo said, "Zangnan region is China's territory. China does not recognize the so-called 'Arunachal Pradesh' illegally set up by India." 
Guo said India's attempt to replace names long used by China with its so-called "standard names" is "illegal, null and void," and stressed that it would not change the fact that Zangnan belongs to China. 
Hu Zhiyong, a professor from Zhejiang International Studies University and a research fellow at the Institute of International Relations at the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, told the Global Times on Thursday that border and security issues have traditionally been susceptible to political manipulation in India's domestic politics. "When domestic economic and social problems become difficult to address, issues involving the borders with China or Pakistan can easily be pushed to the forefront to divert public attention," Hu explained.
He said economic pressures, concerns over foreign investment and the domestic business environment, together with accumulated public sentiment, could provide incentives for some political forces to magnify external disputes.
Hu argued that another problem lies in the tendency of some Indian political figures to bind the boundary question too closely to the entire China-India relationship. "The boundary issue is one part of bilateral relations, which also encompass political, economic, diplomatic, security and people-to-people exchanges," Hu said. "It should not be allowed to hijack the entire relationship."
Dialogue matters 
According to the Chinese Foreign Ministry's statement of the August 6 meeting, the two sides conducted constructive dialogue in a candid and friendly manner, had an in-depth exchange of views on further implementing the consensus reached during the 24th Round of Talks between the Special Representatives of China and India on the Boundary Question, and agreed to jointly prepare for the coming 25th Round of SR talks. The two sides also discussed boundary delimitation, border management, mechanism development, cross-border exchange and cooperation. The two sides agreed to continue to maintain diplomatic and military communication, and jointly safeguard peace and tranquility in the border areas.
Hu pointed out that the timing of the latest speculation is noteworthy, as border issues have at times been used by some forces in India in an attempt to gain leverage ahead of important bilateral interactions. 
The 36th WMCC meeting demonstrates that the two sides possess functioning channels through which disagreements can be addressed. This is particularly important as China and India seek to sustain the improvement in relations and prepare for further high-level interactions, said Chinese observers.
"The boundary dispute is a complicated issue left over from history and cannot be resolved overnight," Qian said. "What matters is to keep diplomatic and military communication channels open, promptly handle frontline frictions through established mechanisms, expand people-to-people exchanges and strengthen coordination under multilateral frameworks such as BRICS and the SCO."

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原标题:9月13日期货夜盘螺纹、铁矿、沥青等品种走势分析螺纹2301恒大表示要保交楼复工,许大老板这真聪明的人喊出来,可见这块随着稳增长政策的再次强调以及地方、各企业保交楼方案的落实,市场信心会进一步改善。总体而言,螺纹需求还未证伪,复产对现阶段原料有一定支撑,考虑到近期整个市场多头情绪高涨,短期黑色板块震荡偏多思路。螺纹盘面紧贴上一交易日小幅震荡,相对整个市场算弱势,符合目前基本面态势。夜盘方面,3800下方,原有多单持有,设好止盈;若加仓突破3800可加多,反复则减仓。

C | 铁矿2301上游在炉料供应偏紧且开工高企的背景下,短期或有一定的价格支撑。铁矿盘面上加仓价格上行,相对螺纹强势,按昨日分析不变。夜盘方面,在700~740观望,若加仓突破740可多单尝试,设好止损。沥青2212沥青盘面太不给力,高开低走,收在最低价附近,整体上沥青没站稳3850前,看空思路不变,考虑到原油端比较强,新单高空为主,并设好止损,避免意外。

D | 夜盘方面,按12日分析,3800下方有空单的持有,设好止损,跌破3700加仓,价格突破3870,空单止损离场观望。

E | 品种太多,以上只是夜盘前的分析,市场变化盘中会有调整,其他品种或即时策略可以交流,评论回复不了。

F | 赔小钱,赚大钱是期货交易必须坚持的思考原则。只要你一直沿着这条正确之路走下去,早晚会到达成功的彼岸。期市有风险,入市需谨慎,以上分析仅供参考,不作为决策依据。公众号:认识期货返回搜狐,查看更多责任编辑:

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